Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.087922 0.101535 0.116558 0.134368 0.154912 0.177871 0.205488
2026-01-25 0.064869 0.082700 0.104385 0.132708 0.168750 0.213129 0.272003
2026-02-01 0.051222 0.069969 0.094367 0.128465 0.174943 0.236185 0.323196
2026-02-08 0.044104 0.063733 0.090729 0.130600 0.188082 0.268130 0.388418
2026-02-15 0.038364 0.058204 0.086825 0.131164 0.198269 0.296300 0.450945
2026-02-22 0.034185 0.054169 0.084254 0.132897 0.209783 0.327020 0.520180
2026-03-01 0.029795 0.049121 0.079369 0.130219 0.213840 0.346424 0.573716
2026-03-08 0.026313 0.045000 0.075320 0.128164 0.218309 0.366502 0.630073
2026-03-15 0.024014 0.042502 0.073528 0.129460 0.228208 0.396143 0.705305
2026-03-22 0.022832 0.041743 0.074504 0.135481 0.246691 0.441978 0.813420
2026-03-29 0.021441 0.040424 0.074315 0.139337 0.261631 0.483007 0.917311
2026-04-05 0.020050 0.038925 0.073605 0.142089 0.274731 0.521898 1.021328
2026-04-12 0.018531 0.037038 0.072028 0.143140 0.284956 0.556947 1.122946
2026-04-19 0.016836 0.034615 0.069175 0.141401 0.289584 0.581864 1.207720
2026-04-26 0.015039 0.031772 0.065175 0.136879 0.288055 0.594366 1.268531
2026-05-03 0.014144 0.030677 0.064543 0.139154 0.300670 0.636578 1.395840
2026-05-10 0.013177 0.029314 0.063201 0.139756 0.309757 0.672329 1.513221
2026-05-17 0.012415 0.028304 0.062486 0.141603 0.321690 0.715251 1.651059
2026-05-24 0.011338 0.026472 0.059792 0.138749 0.322813 0.734666 1.737873
2026-05-31 0.010422 0.024900 0.057507 0.136559 0.325176 0.757009 1.833874
2026-06-07 0.009847 0.024062 0.056794 0.137940 0.336000 0.799736 1.983018
2026-06-14 0.009651 0.024112 0.058137 0.144357 0.359541 0.874572 2.218678
2026-06-21 0.009313 0.023772 0.058519 0.148467 0.377875 0.938848 2.435346